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    The Roller Coaster Ride That Was 2022

    2022 exhibited volatility for a host of measures, ranging from consumer sentiment, key financial sector metrics, and CRE and housing performance metrics.

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    So, Are We in a Recession?

    When advance estimates of second quarter GDP growth came in at -0.9% last July 28, the drumbeat of negative sentiment became deafening. After all, GDP growth was also negative (-1.6%) in the first quarter. Figure 1. Real GDP (Percent Change from Prior Quarter) “Two negative quarters of GDP growth” is one common rule of thumb … Continued